Sunday, 7 August 2011

Curragh 2.35 - Unexposed Cocozza Decent Overs in G2 Royal Whip

The G2 Royal Whip over 10f  (Curragh 2.35) is the 1st race I will preview for the day. Banimpire dominates the market currently around 4/5 and realistically I feel it is unders trading in the red despite winning 4 of its last 6 starts. John Oxx saddles up the unexposed Elusive Quality colt Cocozza with the dam being a full relation to 2 high class 12f horses in Tchaikovsky and Dubai Success. It is the value runner as the clear 2nd elect.

My market is rated as follows for the Curragh 2.35 G2 Royal Whip Stakes.


Curragh 2.35 10f 57K G2 3yo+ par8.00
No1 Aoife Alainn 12.00
No2 Banimpire 3.10
No3 Cocozza 4.10
No4 Dunboyne Express 5.40
No5 Mutahadee 10.50
No6 Gemstone 12.00

Win Betting - Banimpire I have as top elect just as the exchanges do but longer for mine at 3.10, trades at 1.85, this creates good value about my clear 2nd rated Cocozza, rated 4.10, trades at 8.20, bet 3 units to win.

Place Betting - once again Cocozza qualifies as the value place bet, bet 7 units in the PLACE market (2 place dividends) on Cocozza at odds of 3.20, only 1 point below the rated win price, that represents very good value.

Lay Betting - Well we have Banimpire top elect rated at 3.10, some would lay it because it is trading at 1.85, to put it simply I'm not a fan of laying top rated horses that i have marked up around 3.00 or shorter (this one remembering rated 3.10). SO FOR THIS RACE NO LAY BETTING IN EITHER WIN OR PLACE BETTING MARKETS.

Good luck and happy punting.

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