Friday, 5 August 2011

Newmarket 5.50 - Fresa Unders, Will Drift, Lay Early

The best angle and most confident way  to play the 5.50 from Newmarket is by laying Fresa which looks unders as early co fav with Shamaal Nibras, starting to drift longer than that runner now so lay early as it will continue to drift.

I have the 5.50 at Newmarket rated as follows.


Newmarket 5.50 7f 3.8K C4 0-85 2yo par8.00
No1 Shamaal Nibras 2.90
No2 Citizen's Charter 4.00
No3 Roedean 7.40
No5 Maroosh 8.60
No6 Fresa 7.40
No7 Casa Bex 33.00

Win Betting - Shamaal Nibras the impressive last start winner by under-rated USA sire First Samurai (dual G1 winning son of now proven sire of sires Giant's Causeway) looks hard to toss here with good scope for more, clear cut top rated at 2.90, should take the next step, trades at 3.40, I expect it to firm consistently as post time looms, get on now, Bet 6 units to win.

Lay Betting - early co favorite Fresa looks unders despite winning last start, merit of that win questionable when lined up vs a few of these, 3 rated equal or infront of it, trades at 3.60 to 3.70 on the exchanges early, I think it will continue to drift as smart money comes for others. lay to risk 12 units out to a max lay price in the win market of 4.20.

Good luck and happy punting.

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