Monday, 25 July 2011

Ayr 3.00 - Questionnaire Slight Unders But Value In Equal 2nd Rated Horses

Questionnaire has drifted slightly in betting from 3.20 out to 3.50 but is still slight unders as I have it rated at 4.00, value currently exists about the equal 2nd elects and they are the ones that deserve minor support.

My market for this race reads as follows.


Ayr 3.00 6f 4.2K C5 0-75 3yo+ par8.00
No1 Apache Ridge 6.00
No2 Speed Dream 6.00
No3 Questionnaire 4.00
No4 Beckermet 9.00
No5 North Central 16.00
No6 Chambers 13.00
No7 Royal Blade 13.00
No8 Distant Sun 33.00
No9 Weetentherty 16.00

Apache Ridge and Speed Dream are equal 2nd rated at 6.00, they trade at 7.40 Apache Ridge and 30.00 Speed Dream, back them both for a minor win outlay weighting price say 2 units Apache Ridge and 1 unit Speed Dream.

Place betting obviously the big value here is with Speed Dream, being offered up at 6.60 for the place, may drift to 7.00, in a market paying 3 place dividends, getting better odds for the place than the rated win market price of 6.00, that always is a huge value bet.

Speed Dream 3 unit place bet @ 6.60 in the PLACE market.

Lay Betting should revolve around Royal Blade which I have rated at 13.00 in the win market, can be laid at 2.20 to 2.30 in the PLACE market, big unders considering it is rated so long in the market.

Good luck and happy punting.

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