After looking at the market for the 5.00 at Ayr it becomes painfully obvious that this is definitely the best value vs confidence bet of the day for us in the form of Odin's Revenge. Great way to finish off the day. Rated 2.60, trades at 5.20 in win market at time of writing, for sure it has to firm.
My market for this race reads as follows.
Ayr 5.00 13f 4.2K C5 0-75 3yo+ par8.00
No1 Odin's Raven 2.60
No2 Cat O' Nine Tails 9.00
No3 Boss's Destination 7.30
No4 Forrest Flyer 9.00
No6 Strobe 33.00
No7 Wicked Daze 22.00
No8 Jewelled Dagger 12.40
No9 Mason Hindmarsh 10.00
As an old saying I love goes "Rob your grandmother to back this horse", in other words get it from where ever you can and just keep backing at the very good overs that are being bet. Remember rated 2.60, trades at 5.20 in the win market, bet 10 units to win on Odin's Revenge @ 5.20, likely to firm.
Not often I will advise taking shorter than even money in the place market but the value on offer here allows us to make an exceptions for Odin's Revenge, rated 2.60 in win market, hence value at 1.50+ in the place market, trades strong just over 1.80, big overs in terms of percentage vs rated price, 1.80 to 1.50. Back with big confidence.
25 unit place bet on Odin's Revenge at the 1.80, absolute massive value play vs confidence.
No real advantage in the lay betting markets.
Good luck and happy punting.
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