Wednesday 20 July - Can We Hit A 20/1 winner at Balaklava?

The 2nd race on the card at Balaklava on Wednesday is a very wide open affair with a fair few of these at or about the same level, two of the closely top five rated runners are 20/1 and 50/1 on the Morning Line. So a VALUE ALERT go out at this stage for this race.

BETTING UPDATE

3 of these are on or over the 15.00 mark in betting, back all 3 for a result across the race, they are No7 AKHADRAANA @ 15.00, No9 LIGHTNING LADY @ 14.00 & No11 STING LIKE A BEE @ 30.00 on Queensland TAB fixed odds 10 minutes from jump.

No11 STING LIKE A BEE is good odds for the PLACE @ 5.50 fixed odds.

My rated market is as follows, listing only the seen live chances

WIN BETTING

Two of these major 5 chances out to our rated 9.70 line are big overs on the Morning Line priced at 19.00 and 51.00.  They are No8 Forcryingoutloud (rated 9.70 / morning line 19.00) and No11 Sting Like A Bee (rated 9.00 / morning line 51.00)

If both of them are bet at minimum 15/1 for one of them and 20/1 for the other than it is worth backing both on the same 1.5 unit outlay for a result across the race.

PLACE BETTING

This may end up being one of the best value vs confidence bets on the day if the value stands up as per the morning line price for No11 Sting Like A Bee suggests, every chance we will get 5/1+ or 6.00 for the PLACE about this horse, that is basically 5/1 about a 7/4 chance! I will assess this closer to jump time and update again on the final price being bet.

Morning Line prices as per Racingandsports below

 

Good luck and happy punting.