I must say I really like the 2.35 from Goodwood as a betting race, so much value to be had. I'll keep the opening short and get straight to the betting after giving you the ratings.
I have the runners in this race rated as follows.
Goodwood 2.35 7f 34K G2 2yo par8.00
No1 Red Duke 4.00
No2 Chandlery 6.80
No3 Elkhart 37.00
No4 Lethal Force 13.50
No5 Minal 23.00
No6 Red Seventy 6.80
No7 Rockinante 3.20
Im fairly confident Ive got this race nailed between the top 2 rated runners Rockinante and Red Duke. They occupy 59% of my betting market. Admittedly Red Duke is very minor unders trading at 3.80 but the great value about top elect Rockinante allows us to back both and still have a good advantage across both runners. Between them they only occupy 42% of the betting market on Betffair. Bet 10 units Red Duke to win @ 3.80 & bet 8 units on Rockinante to win @ 7.00. either way we get slightly better than even money if Red Duke wins and just better than 2/1 if Rockinante (top elect) wins.
Obviously from a place betting perspective we should get stuck into Rockinante for the place, we all know how these kind of bets work now if you have been following my blog now, top rated at 3.20 in my win market and trades at 3.30 for the place in a race paying 2 place dividends, better odds the place than rated to win, massive value. Bet 7 units on Rockinante to place at odds of 3.30.
Lay betting also offers plenty of good value in this race, Lay Chandlery in the win market at 4.20, rated 6.80, significant unders. Lethal Force is the big value lay in the PLACE market, trades at 3.00. Lat Chandlery to risk 10 units in the win market at 4.20 and lay Lethal Force to risk 5 units in the place market at odds of 3.00.
All over one of the better betting raceso f the day....but there is a few more still to come my loyal crowd.
Good luck and happy punting.
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