Yarmouth 3.15 - Race with Strong Advantage Equals Good Confidence

This may end up being one of the better value vs confidence betting races of the day the 3.15 from Yarmouth. There is enough depth in the prices to back our top 2 rated horses for a result across the race.

My market for this race reads as follows.


Yarmouth 3.15 6f 4K c4 0-85 3yo+ par8.00
No1 Victoria Bounty 6.80
No2 Ceremonial Jade 3.70
No3 Ursula 5.30
No4 Seek The Fair Land 4.80
No6 Greyfriarschorista 9.30
No7 Miss Polly Plum 11.20

I have Ceremonial Jade on top rated at 3.70, can be backed at 9.60, I have Seek The Fair Land rated 2nd at 4.80 but a minimum clear point behind Ceremonial Jade, it can also be backed same outlay at 5.00.

Yarmouth 3.15, win bets on both No2 Ceremonial Jade & No4 Seek The Fair Land outlaying 3 units on each one of them.

For place betting the big value is obviously Ceremonial Jade, being offered  at 4.20 in the place market, only 2 place dividends, but PLAce price on offer is better than rated win market price of 3.70, as stated previously in my posts, that means big value, even better when it is the Top Elect rated horse we are talking about.

One of the big value bets of the day vs confidence then becomes

Yarmouth 3.15 No2 Ceremonial Jade - 6 unit PLACE bet @ 4.20.

Lay Betting - the obvious big value lay betting commodity here is the slightly drifting favorite, Greyfriarschorista which can be laid at 3.90 in the win market and 2.20 in the place market, big unders in both considering I have it rated at 9.30, lay in both markets with big confidence, risk 10 units win market @ 3.90 and 5 units place market @ 2.20.

Good luck and happy punting.