Wednesday, 20 July 2011

Empowering Hard To Beat At Naas

The Listed Sweet Mimosa Stakes (Naas 7.30) looks a perfect opportunity for Empowering to get back into the winners circle after being well below par vs stronger over unsuitable trips at its last 2 starts, a drop in trip and grade will see it hit the level it showed first up 3 starts ago in G3 company winning by a good margin. Early on it is 8/1 with bookmakers and as a rated 4.20 chance that is good overs.

My market for this race reads as follows

WIN BETTING


There is enough depth in this market to back both Empowering at 8/1 and one of our equal 2nd elects Radharcnafarraige at 7/1 (rated 6.80) for a result across the race.
Naas 7.30 No3 Empowering - 3 unit win bet @ 8/1
Naas 7.30 No5 Radharcnafarraige - 2 unit win bet @ 7/1

PLACE BETTING

Clearly Empowering becomes the place bet here as clear cut top elect.

Naas 7.30 No3 Empowering - 5 unit place bet (likely to be above 3.00 going on early Betfair win market)

LAY BETTING

Alanza trades between 3.50 and 3.80 on Betfair early, that is definitely well under its true value quote of 12.00, lay confidently in the win market.

Naas 7.30 No8 Alanza - lay to risk 10 units @ 3.80 (may drift slightly)

Good luck and happy punting.

No comments:

Post a Comment