Saturday, 23 July 2011

Newcastle 2.55 - Big Value Specking Opportunity

A very good value opportunity for win and place punting exists here. The outside in the betting market on Betfair is Tom Sawyer, this ones exposed form suggests it is well above the level required to win here and it is capable of hitting that level today under the conditions.

My market reads as follows.


Newcastle 2.55 6f 5.1K C3 0-90 3yo par8.00
No1 Namwahjobo 8.00
No2 Louis The Pious 5.20
No3 Mappin Time 5.40
No4 Tom Sawyer 3.40
No5 Lady Paris 7.40
No6 Another Citizen  13.50

Ive got Tom Sawyer clear top rated here at the odds of 3.40. I honestly feel it can hit a new recent high peak level here and if it does than it wins.

It is being bet as the clear outsider in this small 6 horse field at odds of 19.00. Back it each way with massive value existing vs confidence for PLACE market punters where we get odds of 6.00 for the drum to finish 1st or 2nd, pretty good insurance about something rated nearly half that price for the win!!

Namwahjobo is great laying value in the win market trading at 4.20, rated at 8.00.

Good luck and happy punting.

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